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Long Shot Fri 12 Jun

Lottery ticket — big odds, low chance. Small stake, fun only.

07

Long Shot

Lottery ticket — big odds, low chance. Small stake, fun only.

Lottery ticket
Combined
143.52
Returns · 10
1435.2
Real chance
0.6%

A 3-leg long shot with combined odds of 143.52. Real chance of landing is 0.6% — this is a lottery ticket. Stake small, expect to lose, enjoy the ride if it lands.

  1. Juventude RS vs Ponte Preta Ponte Preta Win · Bet365 KICKS OFF IN 2 DAYS Ponte Preta Win: fair price is 6.673 (true chance 15%). Bet365 pays 6.5 — a -2.6% edge across 6 books.
    6.5
  2. Inter Turku vs Oulu Oulu Win · 1xbet KICKS OFF TOMORROW Oulu Win: fair price is 4.937 (true chance 20%). 1xbet pays 4.8 — a -2.8% edge across 6 books.
    4.8
  3. Jaro vs HJK Helsinki Jaro Win · 1xbet KICKS OFF TOMORROW Jaro Win: fair price is 4.801 (true chance 21%). 1xbet pays 4.6 — a -4.2% edge across 6 books.
    4.6

Why these legs

1

Juventude RS vs Ponte Preta

Ponte Preta Win at 6.5 with Bet365

Pooling odds from 6 of our tracked books and stripping the 7.6% overround leaves a fair price of 6.673 — a true 15.0% chance. Bet365 is paying 6.5, which is a -2.6% edge over fair. That’s why this leg made the cut.

2

Inter Turku vs Oulu

Oulu Win at 4.8 with 1xbet

Pooling odds from 6 of our tracked books and stripping the 7.3% overround leaves a fair price of 4.937 — a true 20.2% chance. 1xbet is paying 4.8, which is a -2.8% edge over fair. That’s why this leg made the cut.

3

Jaro vs HJK Helsinki

Jaro Win at 4.6 with 1xbet

Pooling odds from 6 of our tracked books and stripping the 6.7% overround leaves a fair price of 4.801 — a true 20.8% chance. 1xbet is paying 4.6, which is a -4.2% edge over fair. That’s why this leg made the cut.

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